COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
26-20-7 | Road
2
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
21-26-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Owen Power
#25 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.13 | 0.857 | -- |
| Owen Power | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.13
GAA
--
0.857
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
62%
SABRES
38%
BLUE JACKETS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.5%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.9%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
28.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.6
COLUMBUS
Buffalo
3.53
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
38% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
B
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026
CBJ @ BUF
0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.4% more
Buffalo: 32.3
vs
Columbus: 25.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.6%
Buffalo: 50.4%
vs
Columbus: 40.8%
Power Play % (L5)
+5.4%
Buffalo: 6.9%
vs
Columbus: 1.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+26.4% more
Columbus: 4.9
vs
Buffalo: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.6
2
BUF Score
3.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 18.6
18.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
50.4 / 40.8
51.9 / 48.1
Hits
23.0 / 23.1
24.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
687.0 / 150.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.3 / 25.8
21.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.9
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
ML
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
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