VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
32-17-6 | Road
4
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
27-23-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 4.05 | 0.895 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.05
--
Save %
0.895
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
62%
BRUINS
38%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
VGK By 1 goal
15.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
15.2%
BOS By 1 goal
18.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
22.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.96
VEGAS
Boston
3.29
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
38% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
B
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
VGK @ BOS
3 - 4
Oct 16, 2025
BOS @ VGK
5 - 6
Mar 20, 2025
BOS @ VGK
1 - 5
Feb 8, 2025
VGK @ BOS
4 - 3
Feb 29, 2024
VGK @ BOS
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+34.0% more
Boston: 6.1
vs
Vegas: 4.6
Hits (L5)
+13.0% more
Boston: 18.5
vs
Vegas: 16.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.5% more
Boston: 12.5
vs
Vegas: 11.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+28.0% more
Vegas: 34.2
vs
Boston: 24.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
4
BOS Score
3.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.5 / 11.3
17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
48.0 / 49.6
55.7 / 44.3
Hits
18.5 / 16.3
21.0 / 6.0
Power Play %
17.5 / 22.6
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
24.7 / 34.2
24.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 4.6
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
VGK
BOS
VGK
ML
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
ATS
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
TTL
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
20%
1-4
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
