VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
26-18-11 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
33-17-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 2.10 | 0.941 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 1.00 | 0.971 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.10
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.941
Save %
Ldr 0.971
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
43%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
57%
CANUCKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VAN By 1 goal
13.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
11.6%
VGK By 1 goal
19.6%
VGK By 2-3 goals
26.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.24
VANCOUVER
Vegas
2.96
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
B
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
VGK @ VAN
3 - 2
Apr 7, 2026
VGK @ VAN
2 - 1
Mar 30, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 5
Apr 16, 2025
VGK @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+35.5% more
Vegas: 35.5
vs
Vancouver: 26.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.0%
Vegas: 47.8%
vs
Vancouver: 43.8%
Hits (L5)
+41.4% more
Vancouver: 22.0
vs
Vegas: 12.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.4% more
Vancouver: 13.5
vs
Vegas: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.2
1
VGK Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.8 / 13.5
19.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
47.8 / 43.8
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
12.9 / 22.0
10.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
3173.0 / 3074.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
35.5 / 26.2
35.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
VAN
VGK
VAN
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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