DALLAS
STARSDAL
37-18-2 | Road
4
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
27-22-8 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 5.32 | 0.821 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 4.00 | 0.818 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.32
GAA
Ldr 4.00
0.821 Ldr
Save %
0.818
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
63%
BLUE JACKETS
37%
STARS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
19.5%
DAL By 2-3 goals
26.4%
CBJ By 1 goal
13.9%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
11.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3.68
DALLAS
Columbus
2.98
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
C
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
DAL @ CBJ
0 - 1
Oct 21, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
5 - 1
Feb 25, 2025
DAL @ CBJ
4 - 6
Feb 2, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
3 - 5
Nov 9, 2023
DAL @ CBJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.7% more
Dallas: 28.9
vs
Columbus: 23.8
Power Play % (L5)
+2.3%
Dallas: 35.9%
vs
Columbus: 33.6%
Hits (L5)
+84.8% more
Columbus: 26.2
vs
Dallas: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.7
4
CBJ Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 16.7
24.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 51.7
47.2 / 52.8
Hits
26.2 / 14.2
21.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
3363.0 / 3590.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.8 / 28.9
29.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 4.1
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
DAL
CBJ
DAL
ML
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
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