CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
17-34-7 | Road
5
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
34-18-6 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Pietrangelo
#7 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 3.17 | 0.889 | -- |
| Alex Pietrangelo | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.17
GAA
--
0.889
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
21%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
79%
BLACKHAWKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
69%
Under 0
31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
CHI By 1 goal
15.0%
CHI By 2-3 goals
13.6%
VGK By 1 goal
19.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
24.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.22
CHICAGO
Vegas
2.72
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Chicago
1
CHICAGO
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
79% Win Prob
B
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
C
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
CHI @ VGK
2 - 5
Mar 14, 2026
CHI @ VGK
0 - 4
Jan 4, 2026
VGK @ CHI
2 - 3
Dec 2, 2025
CHI @ VGK
3 - 4
Mar 28, 2025
VGK @ CHI
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.6% more
Vegas: 31.2
vs
Chicago: 24.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.7%
Vegas: 48.7%
vs
Chicago: 41.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+38.4%
Chicago: 52.6%
vs
Vegas: 14.1%
Hits (L5)
+21.5% more
Chicago: 19.9
vs
Vegas: 15.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
2.2
5
VGK Score
2.7
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 15.0
14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
48.7 / 41.0
58.1 / 41.9
Hits
15.6 / 19.9
17.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
14.1 / 52.6
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.2 / 24.9
33.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 3.5
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CHI
VGK
CHI
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming