DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
30-23-6 | Road
3
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
29-22-8 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Zachary Aston-Reese
#11 | LW@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Aston-Reese | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.00 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
50%
BLUE JACKETS
50%
RED WINGS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
28.0%
CBJ By 1 goal
13.0%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
10.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.92
DETROIT
Columbus
3.07
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
A
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
CBJ @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
DET @ CBJ
5 - 6
Nov 22, 2025
CBJ @ DET
3 - 4
Mar 1, 2025
DET @ CBJ
3 - 5
Feb 27, 2025
CBJ @ DET
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+17.2%
Detroit: 32.2%
vs
Columbus: 15.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+17.0% more
Detroit: 3.7
vs
Columbus: 3.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.0%
Detroit: 53.1%
vs
Columbus: 49.1%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.5% more
Columbus: 15.7
vs
Detroit: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.9
3
CBJ Score
3.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 13.1
22.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 53.1
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
21.6 / 20.9
25.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
15.0 / 32.2
100.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
27.0 / 28.7
21.0 / 46.0
Takeaways
3.1 / 3.7
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
DET
CBJ
DET
ML
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets