COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
30-23-8 | Road
0
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
38-21-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.01 | 0.943 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01
GAA
--
0.943
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
42%
PANTHERS
58%
BLUE JACKETS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
CBJ By 1 goal
3.8%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
1.8%
FLA By 1 goal
14.0%
FLA By 2-3 goals
38.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.42
COLUMBUS
Florida
5.09
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Florida
5
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.7
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
CBJ @ FLA
1 - 2
Mar 5, 2026
FLA @ CBJ
2 - 4
Dec 6, 2025
CBJ @ FLA
6 - 7
Mar 20, 2025
FLA @ CBJ
1 - 0
Mar 6, 2025
CBJ @ FLA
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+28.4% more
Florida: 27.6
vs
Columbus: 21.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.9% more
Florida: 33.7
vs
Columbus: 27.7
Takeaways (L5)
+21.7% more
Florida: 4.4
vs
Columbus: 3.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.4%
Florida: 51.2%
vs
Columbus: 48.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.4
0
FLA Score
5.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.2 / 17.9
8.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 48.8
41.0 / 59.0
Hits
27.6 / 21.5
29.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
18.1 / 28.9
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.7 / 27.7
36.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.6
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CBJ
FLA
CBJ
ML
0%
0-4
50%
1-1
0%
0-4
100%
2-0
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
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