VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
38-19-7 | Road
4
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
31-25-8 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.02 | 0.893 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
3.02
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.893
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
62%
BLUE JACKETS
38%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
17.8%
VGK By 2-3 goals
19.5%
CBJ By 1 goal
17.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.75
VEGAS
Columbus
3.67
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
C
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
CBJ @ VGK
3 - 5
Dec 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
3 - 2
Mar 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
4 - 0
Jan 30, 2025
CBJ @ VGK
2 - 1
Mar 23, 2024
CBJ @ VGK
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+57.8%
Vegas: 66.3%
vs
Columbus: 8.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+52.5% more
Vegas: 4.7
vs
Columbus: 2.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.9% more
Vegas: 31.7
vs
Columbus: 23.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.6%
Vegas: 51.4%
vs
Columbus: 48.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.8
4
CBJ Score
3.7
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 12.9
7.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 51.4
59.5 / 40.5
Hits
20.5 / 15.3
31.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
8.6 / 66.3
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
23.5 / 31.7
27.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
2.3 / 4.7
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
VGK
CBJ
VGK
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
50%
2-2
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