FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
41-24-3 | Road
1
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
31-28-8 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 0.99 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.99
--
Save %
0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
61%
BLUE JACKETS
39%
PANTHERS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.2%
FLA By 2-3 goals
33.8%
CBJ By 1 goal
9.4%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
6.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3.47
FLORIDA
Columbus
2.01
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
CBJ @ FLA
1 - 2
Mar 5, 2026
FLA @ CBJ
2 - 4
Dec 6, 2025
CBJ @ FLA
6 - 7
Mar 20, 2025
FLA @ CBJ
1 - 0
Mar 6, 2025
CBJ @ FLA
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+30.7%
Florida: 33.2%
vs
Columbus: 2.5%
Hits (L5)
+24.6% more
Florida: 32.3
vs
Columbus: 24.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Florida: 52.2%
vs
Columbus: 50.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.8% more
Columbus: 31.0
vs
Florida: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.5
1
CBJ Score
2.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 13.3
18.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
50.5 / 52.2
44.4 / 55.6
Hits
24.3 / 32.3
27.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
2.5 / 33.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 26.3
25.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 3.9
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
FLA
CBJ
FLA
ML
50%
1-1
0%
0-4
100%
2-0
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
TTL
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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