BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
30-30-9 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
39-20-8 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 5.00 | 0.844 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 1.00 | 0.947 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.844
Save %
Ldr 0.947
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
34%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
66%
BRUINS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
BOS By 1 goal
14.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
12.1%
VGK By 1 goal
19.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.63
BOSTON
Vegas
3.29
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
C
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
VGK @ BOS
3 - 4
Oct 16, 2025
BOS @ VGK
5 - 6
Mar 20, 2025
BOS @ VGK
1 - 5
Feb 8, 2025
VGK @ BOS
4 - 3
Feb 29, 2024
VGK @ BOS
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+21.1%
Vegas: 24.6%
vs
Boston: 3.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+16.0% more
Vegas: 5.8
vs
Boston: 5.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.4% more
Vegas: 23.9
vs
Boston: 20.9
Hits (L5)
+44.8% more
Boston: 32.7
vs
Vegas: 18.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.6
1
VGK Score
3.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 18.3
15.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
45.5 / 53.2
40.7 / 59.3
Hits
18.1 / 32.7
16.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
24.6 / 3.5
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.9 / 20.9
32.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 5.0
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
BOS
VGK
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
