COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
31-28-9 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
28-32-10 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 5.14 | 0.848 | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.14
GAA
--
0.848
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
56%
PENGUINS
44%
BLUE JACKETS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CBJ By 1 goal
15.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
14.8%
PIT By 1 goal
18.8%
PIT By 2-3 goals
22.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.56
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
2.93
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
44% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
C
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.4% more
Pittsburgh: 17.2
vs
Columbus: 14.9
Power Play % (L5)
+12.8%
Pittsburgh: 14.5%
vs
Columbus: 1.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.0%
Pittsburgh: 54.5%
vs
Columbus: 48.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.4% more
Columbus: 29.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 22.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.6
3
PIT Score
2.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 14.9
24.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
54.5 / 48.5
51.7 / 48.3
Hits
20.0 / 25.2
27.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
1450.0 / 169.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.5 / 29.0
34.0 / 47.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.9
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
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