DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
32-30-6 | Road
3
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
40-20-8 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Keegan Kolesar
#55 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Kolesar | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 3.00 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
35%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
65%
RED WINGS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
59%
Under 0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
DET By 1 goal
16.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
16.7%
VGK By 1 goal
18.2%
VGK By 2-3 goals
20.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.77
DETROIT
Vegas
2.96
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
VGK @ DET
4 - 3
Nov 4, 2025
DET @ VGK
0 - 1
Mar 22, 2025
DET @ VGK
3 - 6
Mar 16, 2025
VGK @ DET
0 - 3
Mar 9, 2024
DET @ VGK
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+19.6%
Vegas: 27.5%
vs
Detroit: 7.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+18.9% more
Vegas: 5.5
vs
Detroit: 4.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.3% more
Detroit: 18.9
vs
Vegas: 13.9
Hits (L5)
+12.3% more
Detroit: 19.8
vs
Vegas: 17.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.8
3
VGK Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 18.9
18.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
43.9 / 47.0
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
17.4 / 19.8
20.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
27.5 / 7.9
100.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 27.8
36.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.7
9.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
DET
VGK
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
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Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late