COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
31-29-9 | Road
4
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
32-28-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.77 | 0.909 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.77 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77
GAA
2.77
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
48%
ISLANDERS
52%
BLUE JACKETS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
61%
Under 0
39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
CBJ By 1 goal
10.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
7.7%
NYI By 1 goal
19.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
31.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
1.54
COLUMBUS
New York
2.77
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
C
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
CBJ @ NYI
0 - 1
Feb 28, 2026
NYI @ CBJ
4 - 3
Dec 28, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
2 - 4
Nov 2, 2025
CBJ @ NYI
2 - 3
Apr 17, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.5% more
New York: 17.8
vs
Columbus: 12.3
Power Play % (L5)
+15.5%
New York: 16.6%
vs
Columbus: 1.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.4%
New York: 54.8%
vs
Columbus: 48.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.4% more
Columbus: 35.0
vs
New York: 29.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
1.5
4
NYI Score
2.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 12.3
18.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
54.8 / 48.4
45.0 / 55.0
Hits
19.9 / 22.2
19.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
1661.0 / 113.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 35.0
33.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 5.6
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CBJ
NYI
CBJ
ML
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
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