VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
42-20-8 | Road
5
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
40-26-5 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Marc-Andre Fleury
#29 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
| Marc-Andre Fleury | None-None | 4.02 | 0.892 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
4.02
0.958 Ldr
Save %
0.892
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
58%
WILD
42%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
25.9%
MIN By 1 goal
14.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.15
VEGAS
Minnesota
2.49
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+31.8%
Vegas: 42.8%
vs
Minnesota: 10.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.5% more
Vegas: 29.8
vs
Minnesota: 26.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.4% more
Minnesota: 18.6
vs
Vegas: 14.2
Takeaways (L5)
+28.7% more
Minnesota: 6.6
vs
Vegas: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.2
5
MIN Score
2.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.6 / 14.2
14.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 45.2
41.2 / 58.8
Hits
21.4 / 16.8
24.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
10.9 / 42.8
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
26.4 / 29.8
24.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 5.1
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
VGK
MIN
VGK
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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