COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
33-29-9 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
38-28-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Zach Werenski
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Werenski | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.00 | 0.933 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.933
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
46%
SENATORS
54%
BLUE JACKETS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
44%
Under 0
56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
10.1%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
28.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.47
COLUMBUS
Ottawa
3.37
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
C
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
OTT @ CBJ
4 - 1
Dec 29, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 11, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
6 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
2 - 5
Apr 6, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+18.9%
Ottawa: 27.8%
vs
Columbus: 8.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.0% more
Ottawa: 14.6
vs
Columbus: 13.2
Takeaways (L5)
+8.3% more
Ottawa: 5.1
vs
Columbus: 4.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.3% more
Columbus: 34.9
vs
Ottawa: 27.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.5
2
OTT Score
3.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 13.2
18.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
55.2 / 56.3
61.5 / 38.5
Hits
25.4 / 24.7
23.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
2776.0 / 883.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 34.9
27.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 4.7
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
CBJ
OTT
CBJ
ML
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
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