WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
51-20-4 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
45-21-8 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dylan Samberg
#54 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Samberg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 4.50 | 0.842 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.50
--
Save %
0.842
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
54%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
46%
JETS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
WPG By 1 goal
8.8%
WPG By 2-3 goals
5.7%
VGK By 1 goal
19.0%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
2.21
WINNIPEG
Vegas
3.78
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
WPG @ VGK
2 - 6
Mar 24, 2026
VGK @ WPG
1 - 4
Jan 6, 2026
VGK @ WPG
4 - 3
Apr 3, 2025
WPG @ VGK
4 - 0
Dec 12, 2024
VGK @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+30.2%
Vegas: 48.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 17.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.4% more
Vegas: 26.7
vs
Winnipeg: 23.3
Hits (L5)
+31.6% more
Winnipeg: 23.8
vs
Vegas: 16.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+30.3% more
Winnipeg: 15.1
vs
Vegas: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
2.2
4
VGK Score
3.8
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.5 / 15.1
15.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 51.5
55.4 / 44.6
Hits
16.3 / 23.8
24.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
48.0 / 17.8
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.7 / 23.3
26.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 3.5
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
WPG
VGK
WPG
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
