COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
34-32-9 | Road
0
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
41-29-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 1.13 | 0.957 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.13
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.957
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
43%
SENATORS
57%
BLUE JACKETS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
CBJ By 1 goal
14.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
12.1%
OTT By 1 goal
19.5%
OTT By 2-3 goals
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.11
COLUMBUS
Ottawa
2.77
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
B
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
OTT @ CBJ
4 - 1
Dec 29, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 11, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
6 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
2 - 5
Apr 6, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.5% more
Ottawa: 17.7
vs
Columbus: 13.0
Hits (L5)
+32.2% more
Ottawa: 28.1
vs
Columbus: 21.2
Power Play % (L5)
+10.0%
Ottawa: 17.7%
vs
Columbus: 7.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.0%
Ottawa: 56.7%
vs
Columbus: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.1
0
OTT Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 13.0
16.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
56.7 / 48.6
56.6 / 43.4
Hits
28.1 / 21.2
24.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
1772.0 / 767.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 31.0
30.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.6
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
CBJ
OTT
CBJ
ML
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
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