VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
46-22-8 | Road
3
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
35-28-13 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 2.00 | 0.905 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 3.06 | 0.914 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.06
0.905
Save %
Ldr 0.914
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
63%
CANUCKS
37%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
18.0%
VGK By 2-3 goals
20.2%
VAN By 1 goal
16.8%
VAN By 2-3 goals
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.52
VEGAS
Vancouver
3.38
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
VGK @ VAN
3 - 2
Apr 7, 2026
VGK @ VAN
2 - 1
Mar 30, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 5
Apr 16, 2025
VGK @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.5% more
Vegas: 15.0
vs
Vancouver: 10.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.7% more
Vegas: 29.0
vs
Vancouver: 26.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.0%
Vegas: 50.1%
vs
Vancouver: 46.1%
Hits (L5)
+84.6% more
Vancouver: 31.8
vs
Vegas: 17.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.5
3
VAN Score
3.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.7 / 15.0
21.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
46.1 / 50.1
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
31.8 / 17.2
27.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
4498.0 / 2131.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.4 / 29.0
21.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 3.0
8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
VGK
VAN
VGK
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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