OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
42-29-6 | Road
2
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
34-33-9 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.01 | 0.943 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.01
--
Save %
0.943
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
58%
BLUE JACKETS
42%
SENATORS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
19.0%
OTT By 2-3 goals
23.7%
CBJ By 1 goal
15.2%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
14.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.76
OTTAWA
Columbus
2.3
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
B
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
OTT @ CBJ
4 - 1
Dec 29, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 11, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
6 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
2 - 5
Apr 6, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.2% more
Ottawa: 17.1
vs
Columbus: 12.7
Hits (L5)
+13.3% more
Ottawa: 26.7
vs
Columbus: 23.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.8%
Ottawa: 56.7%
vs
Columbus: 46.9%
Power Play % (L5)
+6.7%
Ottawa: 11.8%
vs
Columbus: 5.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.8
2
CBJ Score
2.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 17.1
20.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
46.9 / 56.7
59.3 / 40.7
Hits
23.1 / 26.7
23.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
5.1 / 11.8
50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
30.3 / 26.8
35.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 4.9
7.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
OTT
CBJ
OTT
ML
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
67%
2-1
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