BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
35-36-6 | Road
2
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
35-33-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Justin Danforth
#15 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Danforth | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 2.00 | 0.951 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.951
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
48%
BLUE JACKETS
52%
SABRES
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
BUF By 1 goal
16.8%
BUF By 2-3 goals
17.2%
CBJ By 1 goal
18.0%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
20.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3.83
BUFFALO
Columbus
3.97
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
A
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.8
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026
CBJ @ BUF
0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+35.3% more
Columbus: 23.1
vs
Buffalo: 17.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.4% more
Columbus: 31.9
vs
Buffalo: 26.7
Power Play % (L5)
+9.4%
Columbus: 20.1%
vs
Buffalo: 10.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.7%
Columbus: 51.0%
vs
Buffalo: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.8
2
CBJ Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 15.4
17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
51.0 / 45.3
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
23.1 / 17.1
25.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
20.1 / 10.7
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.9 / 26.7
30.0 / 41.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 5.3
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
BUF
ML
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
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