VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
49-22-10 | Road
4
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
38-29-14 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 1.50 | 0.950 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.50
--
Save %
0.950
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
63%
CANUCKS
37%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
30%
Under 0
70%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
18.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
23.2%
VAN By 1 goal
15.5%
VAN By 2-3 goals
14.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.23
VEGAS
Vancouver
2.82
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
B
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
VGK @ VAN
3 - 2
Apr 7, 2026
VGK @ VAN
2 - 1
Mar 30, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 5
Apr 16, 2025
VGK @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.6% more
Vegas: 17.7
vs
Vancouver: 12.1
Takeaways (L5)
+26.2% more
Vegas: 4.4
vs
Vancouver: 3.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.7% more
Vegas: 32.3
vs
Vancouver: 27.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.6%
Vegas: 53.6%
vs
Vancouver: 50.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.2
4
VAN Score
2.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.1 / 17.7
7.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 53.6
35.8 / 64.2
Hits
20.4 / 12.9
24.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
2197.0 / 1021.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.9 / 32.3
17.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 4.4
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
VGK
VAN
VGK
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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