MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
0-0-0 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
50%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
50%
WILD
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
MIN By 1 goal
7.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
4.2%
VGK By 1 goal
17.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
36.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
1.18
MINNESOTA
Vegas
3.07
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.9
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.7%
Vegas: 57.2%
vs
Minnesota: 46.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.7% more
Vegas: 16.8
vs
Minnesota: 15.3
Hits (L5)
+45.1% more
Minnesota: 24.7
vs
Vegas: 13.6
Power Play % (L5)
+4.3%
Minnesota: 11.1%
vs
Vegas: 6.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
1.2
2
VGK Score
3.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 15.3
25.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
57.2 / 46.4
40.0 / 60.0
Hits
13.6 / 24.7
29.0 / 54.0
Power Play %
6.8 / 11.1
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.9 / 33.8
27.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.4
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
MIN
VGK
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
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