MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
0-0-0 | Road
5
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
50%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
50%
WILD
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
MIN By 1 goal
7.9%
MIN By 2-3 goals
4.8%
VGK By 1 goal
18.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
35.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
1.09
MINNESOTA
Vegas
2.83
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.7
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.9
A
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+30.5%
Vegas: 37.9%
vs
Minnesota: 7.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.7% more
Vegas: 19.5
vs
Minnesota: 15.5
Hits (L5)
+45.7% more
Minnesota: 34.5
vs
Vegas: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
1.1
5
VGK Score
2.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.5 / 15.5
13.0 / 30.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 51.0
58.8 / 41.2
Hits
18.7 / 34.5
30.0 / 37.0
Power Play %
3787.0 / 738.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.3 / 29.2
32.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.6
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
MIN
VGK
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Juszczyk Wins Appeal, Padres Stay Alive, Messi Bids Farewell in …
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…