VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
0-0-0 | Home
5
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
50%
WILD
50%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
85%
Under 0
15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
28.5%
MIN By 1 goal
12.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
10.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.64
VEGAS
Minnesota
1.74
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
A
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
A
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+20.3%
Vegas: 25.3%
vs
Minnesota: 4.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.5% more
Vegas: 30.8
vs
Minnesota: 25.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.2%
Vegas: 53.9%
vs
Minnesota: 47.7%
Hits (L5)
+57.2% more
Minnesota: 35.3
vs
Vegas: 22.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.6
2
MIN Score
1.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.4 / 17.4
23.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 53.9
42.4 / 57.6
Hits
35.3 / 22.5
26.0 / 42.0
Power Play %
4.9 / 25.3
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 30.8
31.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 5.0
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
VGK
MIN
VGK
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Juszczyk Wins Appeal, Padres Stay Alive, Messi Bids Farewell in …
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…