MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
0-0-0 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
50%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
50%
WILD
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
MIN By 1 goal
17.2%
MIN By 2-3 goals
17.9%
VGK By 1 goal
17.8%
VGK By 2-3 goals
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.1
MINNESOTA
Vegas
2.17
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
A
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.8% more
Vegas: 36.2
vs
Minnesota: 28.7
Takeaways (L5)
+18.0% more
Vegas: 5.5
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Power Play % (L5)
+11.3%
Vegas: 24.6%
vs
Minnesota: 13.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.7%
Vegas: 53.2%
vs
Minnesota: 47.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.1
2
VGK Score
2.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 21.8
15.0 / 25.0
Faceoff %
53.2 / 47.5
61.0 / 39.0
Hits
30.7 / 30.8
26.0 / 36.0
Power Play %
24.6 / 13.3
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
36.2 / 28.7
32.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.6
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
MIN
VGK
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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