VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
0-0-0 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
50%
WILD
50%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
VGK By 1 goal
15.2%
VGK By 2-3 goals
14.0%
MIN By 1 goal
19.0%
MIN By 2-3 goals
23.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.3
VEGAS
Minnesota
2.76
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
A
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+40.5% more
Minnesota: 22.9
vs
Vegas: 16.3
Hits (L5)
+11.8% more
Minnesota: 32.5
vs
Vegas: 29.1
Power Play % (L5)
+3.6%
Minnesota: 20.0%
vs
Vegas: 16.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.8% more
Vegas: 34.8
vs
Minnesota: 26.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.3
3
MIN Score
2.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
22.9 / 16.3
13.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
44.7 / 55.8
48.3 / 51.7
Hits
32.5 / 29.1
23.0 / 33.0
Power Play %
20.0 / 16.4
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 34.8
31.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.6
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
VGK
MIN
VGK
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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