NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
30-20 | Road
13
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
9-42 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Angel Chivilli
#57 | RP@
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Mejia
#47 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Chivilli | None-None | 6.14 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Juan Mejia | None-None | 3.72 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.14
ERA
Ldr 3.72
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
88%
ROCKIES
13%
YANKEES
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
16.9%
COL By 1-2 runs
15.7%
COL By 3-4 runs
9.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.91
NEW YORK
Colorado
3.67
COLORADO
Simulated Score
New York
6
NEW YORK
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
88% Win Prob
A
Sim
Yankees
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
COL @ NYY
3 - 10
Sep 9, 2026
COL @ NYY
1 - 6
Sep 8, 2026
COL @ NYY
3 - 5
May 25, 2025
NYY @ COL
5 - 4
May 24, 2025
NYY @ COL
13 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Colorado
COL
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
1.041
▲
OPS
.739
2
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+69.5% more
New York: 1.3
vs
Colorado: 0.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+48.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+42.9% more
New York: 11.0
vs
Colorado: 6.3
OPS (Season)
+30.2%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Colorado: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
4.9
13
COL Score
3.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.1
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.0 / 6.0
8.0 / 21.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.3
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.3 / 11.0
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
12.1 / 11.7
11.0 / 32.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.4
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
NYY
COL
NYY
ML
60%
97-64
47%
76-85
55%
88-73
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
95-66
52%
83-78
53%
86-76
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
81-73-7
50%
77-78-6
53%
82-72-7
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