Home / MLB Projections MLB / Marlins @ Angels MIA @ LAA

MIAMI

MARLINSMIA

19-30  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, May 24 • 10:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

25-25  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Janson Junk
STARTING PITCHER

Janson Junk

#26 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jorge Soler
STARTING PITCHER

Jorge Soler

#12 | Designated Hitter
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Janson Junk None-None 1.80 -- 5.0 4
Jorge Soler None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
1.80 ERA --
-- WHIP --
5.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
4 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
39%
📊
ANGELS
61%
MARLINS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Los Angeles)
MarlinsMIA (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Marlins Cover

35.1%

Angels Cover

64.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

MIA By 1-2 runs

14.9%

MIA By 3-4 runs

9.1%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.47
MIAMI
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
MIAMI
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 9, 2026 LAA @ MIA 3 - 12
Aug 8, 2026 LAA @ MIA 0 - 7
Aug 7, 2026 LAA @ MIA 4 - 3
May 25, 2025 MIA @ LAA 3 - 0
May 24, 2025 MIA @ LAA 6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami MIA
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.41 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.249 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.326 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.727 ▲
OPS
.679
168 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +142.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.3 vs Miami: 0.9
Walks (L5) +140.1% more
Los Angeles: 6.1 vs Miami: 2.5
Total Bases (L5) +34.6% more
Los Angeles: 19.2 vs Miami: 14.3
Strikeouts (L5) +20.9% more
Miami: 8.7 vs Los Angeles: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 3.5 6
LAA Score 5.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.7 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.7 / 9.7 9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 2.3 / 0.9 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 8.7 6.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 19.2 / 14.3 11.0 / 14.0
Walks 6.1 / 2.5 7.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIA
LAA
MIA
ML
59% 96-66
48% 78-84
55% 89-73
55% 88-72
ATS
60% 97-65
56% 91-71
51% 82-80
54% 86-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
56% 88-69-5
52% 82-75-5
53% 82-73-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 54 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 43 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 50 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 54 minutes ago
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
yahoo 1 day, 18 hours ago