Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | None-None | 27.00 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
| Sean Burke | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 6.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
27.00
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
50%
WHITE SOX
50%
ANGELS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
LAA By 1-2 runs
16.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
10.3%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.15
LOS ANGELES
Chicago
4.27
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
A
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 6, 2026
CHW @ LAA
2 - 8
May 5, 2026
CHW @ LAA
3 - 4
May 4, 2026
CHW @ LAA
6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026
LAA @ CHW
2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026
LAA @ CHW
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.679
OPS
▲
.826
154
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+56.0% more
Chicago: 1.2
vs
Los Angeles: 0.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+48.5% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Walks (L5)
+35.4% more
Chicago: 5.3
vs
Los Angeles: 3.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+21.5% more
Chicago: 8.1
vs
Los Angeles: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.2
1
CHW Score
4.3
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 7.5
9.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.6
3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 6.7
10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 10.9
20.0 / 9.0
Walks
5.3 / 3.9
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
LAA
CHW
LAA
ML
49%
81-86
59%
96-66
56%
94-73
55%
89-73
ATS
59%
99-68
60%
97-65
56%
93-74
51%
82-80
TTL
58%
96-69-2
53%
83-74-5
51%
84-81-2
52%
82-75-5