SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
0-0 | Road
6
CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
0-0 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Webb
#62 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Moll
#50 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | None-None | 5.40 | -- | 5.0 | 5 |
| Sam Moll | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.40
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
50%
REDS
50%
GIANTS
--
REDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-2 runs
19.4%
SF By 3-4 runs
18.7%
CIN By 1-2 runs
13.0%
CIN By 3-4 runs
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
5.13
SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati
2.93
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
San Francisco
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati
5
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Giants
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Reds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Giants (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.2
C
Sim
Reds (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
CIN @ SF
10 - 9
Aug 25, 2026
CIN @ SF
1 - 3
Aug 24, 2026
CIN @ SF
0 - 5
Apr 16, 2026
SF @ CIN
3 - 0
Apr 15, 2026
SF @ CIN
3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Cincinnati
CIN
162
Games Played
162
4.13
▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.306
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.706
▲
OPS
.699
178
Home Runs
▲
213
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+61.0% more
San Francisco: 0.7
vs
Cincinnati: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+46.7% more
San Francisco: 9.9
vs
Cincinnati: 5.3
Total Bases (L5)
+42.0% more
San Francisco: 13.1
vs
Cincinnati: 7.6
Hits (L5)
+30.2% more
San Francisco: 8.6
vs
Cincinnati: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
5.1
6
CIN Score
2.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.0 / 8.6
8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.1 / 0.7
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
5.3 / 9.9
17.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
7.6 / 13.1
9.0 / 12.0
Walks
4.2 / 5.1
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CIN
Advantage
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
SF
CIN
SF
ML
55%
88-71
49%
79-81
49%
79-81
53%
85-75
ATS
54%
86-73
62%
100-60
50%
80-80
52%
83-77
TTL
53%
81-73-5
55%
82-68-10
54%
83-72-5
46%
68-81-11
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