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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Mar 27 • 4:15 PM ET
Busch Stadium
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

CARDINALSSTL

0-0  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Ryan Jeffers
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Jeffers

#27 | Catcher
@
Kyle Leahy
STARTING PITCHER

Kyle Leahy

#62 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ryan Jeffers None-None -- -- -- --
Kyle Leahy None-None 13.50 -- 0.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 13.50
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
50%
📊
CARDINALS
50%
TWINS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (St. Louis)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 CardinalsSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

42.2%

Cardinals Cover

57.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

MIN By 1-2 runs

16.8%

MIN By 3-4 runs

11.2%

STL By 1-2 runs

19.4%

STL By 3-4 runs

15.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.35
MINNESOTA
4.14
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
5
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 STL @ MIN 4 - 5
Jun 13, 2026 STL @ MIN 9 - 6
Jun 12, 2026 STL @ MIN 8 - 9
Mar 30, 2025 MIN @ STL 2 - 9
Mar 29, 2025 MIN @ STL 1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
St. Louis STL
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.44
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.720 ▲
OPS
.691
187 ▲
Home Runs
167
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +42.5% more
St. Louis: 10.2 vs Minnesota: 7.2
Total Bases (L5) +34.7% more
St. Louis: 15.9 vs Minnesota: 11.8
Errors (L5) +34.0% more
St. Louis: 0.9 vs Minnesota: 0.6
Walks (L5) +49.7% more
Minnesota: 3.3 vs St. Louis: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.4 3
STL Score 4.1 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.6 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.2 / 7.2 10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.1 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 11.0 11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 15.9 / 11.8 17.0 / 13.0
Walks 1.6 / 3.3 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
STL Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
MIN
STL
MIN
ML
53% 85-74
52% 84-78
52% 84-77
50% 80-81
ATS
56% 89-70
59% 95-67
53% 85-76
59% 95-66
TTL
46% 68-81-10
51% 78-75-9
50% 76-75-10
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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