Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Reds SF @ CIN

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Mar 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

REDSCIN

0-0  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jung Hoo Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Jung Hoo Lee

#51 | Right Field
@
Emilio Pagan
STARTING PITCHER

Emilio Pagan

#15 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jung Hoo Lee None-None -- -- -- --
Emilio Pagan None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
50%
📊
REDS
50%
GIANTS --
REDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RedsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

68.5%

Reds Cover

31.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

18.3%

CIN By 1-2 runs

13.8%

CIN By 3-4 runs

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
5.06
SAN FRANCISCO
3.13
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Reds Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
B
Sim Reds (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.2
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 CIN @ SF 10 - 9
Aug 25, 2026 CIN @ SF 1 - 3
Aug 24, 2026 CIN @ SF 0 - 5
Apr 16, 2026 SF @ CIN 3 - 0
Apr 15, 2026 SF @ CIN 3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Cincinnati CIN
162
Games Played
162
4.13 ▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.306 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.706 ▲
OPS
.699
178
Home Runs
▲ 213
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +93.1% more
San Francisco: 1.2 vs Cincinnati: 0.1
Total Bases (L5) +36.7% more
San Francisco: 12.7 vs Cincinnati: 8.1
Walks (L5) +26.9% more
San Francisco: 4.8 vs Cincinnati: 3.5
Hits (L5) +13.7% more
San Francisco: 7.7 vs Cincinnati: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 5.1 2
CIN Score 3.1 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.7 / 7.7 8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.1 / 1.2 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.2 / 9.3 1.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 8.1 / 12.7 15.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.5 / 4.8 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CIN Advantage
75-87-0 (46.3%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
SF
CIN
SF
ML
55% 88-71
49% 79-81
49% 79-81
53% 85-75
ATS
54% 86-73
62% 100-60
50% 80-80
52% 83-77
TTL
53% 81-73-5
55% 82-68-10
54% 83-72-5
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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