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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

0-0  |  Home

12
Probable Pitchers
Trevor Megill
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Megill

#29 | Relief Pitcher
@
Ryan Yarbrough
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Yarbrough

#33 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Trevor Megill None-None 0.00 -- 0.1 --
Ryan Yarbrough None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
50%
📊
YANKEES
50%
BREWERS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (New York)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

21.4%

Yankees Cover

78.6%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

MIL By 1-2 runs

10.1%

MIL By 3-4 runs

5.1%

NYY By 1-2 runs

18.1%

NYY By 3-4 runs

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3.33
MILWAUKEE
6.5
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yankees Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Yankees Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yankees (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.2
D
Sim Yankees (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NYY @ MIL 3 - 4
May 9, 2026 NYY @ MIL 3 - 4
May 8, 2026 NYY @ MIL 0 - 6
Mar 30, 2025 MIL @ NYY 3 - 12
Mar 29, 2025 MIL @ NYY 9 - 20
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
5.14
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.258
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.341
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.743
OPS
▲ 1.041
154 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +270.0% more
New York: 4.4 vs Milwaukee: 1.2
Errors (L5) +149.0% more
New York: 2.2 vs Milwaukee: 0.7
Runs per Game (Season) +75.1% more
New York: 9.0 vs Milwaukee: 5.1
Total Bases (L5) +72.9% more
New York: 25.2 vs Milwaukee: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 3.3 3
NYY Score 6.5 12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 2.2 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.3 / 9.5 11.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 4.4 / 1.2 4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 7.6 10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 25.2 / 14.6 23.0 / 9.0
Walks 3.7 / 4.8 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
NYY
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
MIL
NYY
MIL
ML
47% 76-85
62% 101-61
52% 85-77
52% 84-78
ATS
59% 95-66
58% 94-68
53% 86-76
48% 78-84
TTL
53% 81-73-7
40% 62-92-8
53% 82-72-7
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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