Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ White Sox LAA @ CHW

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

0-0  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
@
Davis Martin
STARTING PITCHER

Davis Martin

#65 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
Davis Martin None-None 0.00 -- 6.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 6.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
50%
📊
WHITE SOX
50%
ANGELS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Chicago)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

25.6%

White Sox Cover

74.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

LAA By 1-2 runs

11.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

6.3%

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.0%

CHW By 3-4 runs

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2.12
LOS ANGELES
4.74
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.6
A
Sim White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.9
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 6, 2026 CHW @ LAA 2 - 8
May 5, 2026 CHW @ LAA 3 - 4
May 4, 2026 CHW @ LAA 6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.679
OPS
▲ .826
154 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +69.0% more
Chicago: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Runs per Game (Season) +48.5% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Strikeouts (L5) +23.0% more
Chicago: 8.2 vs Los Angeles: 6.6
Walks (L5) +17.4% more
Chicago: 4.1 vs Los Angeles: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 2.1 3
CHW Score 4.7 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 7.1 7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 0.5 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 6.6 6.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 10.6 / 9.5 12.0 / 10.0
Walks 4.1 / 3.5 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
LAA
CHW
LAA
ML
49% 81-86
59% 96-66
56% 94-73
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 99-68
60% 97-65
56% 93-74
51% 82-80
TTL
58% 96-69-2
53% 83-74-5
51% 84-81-2
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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