Home / MLB Projections MLB / Twins @ Cardinals MIN @ STL

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Mar 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Busch Stadium
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

CARDINALSSTL

0-0  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Bailey Ober
STARTING PITCHER

Bailey Ober

#17 | Starting Pitcher
@
Andre Pallante
STARTING PITCHER

Andre Pallante

#53 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Bailey Ober None-None 27.00 -- 2.2 3
Andre Pallante None-None 3.60 -- 5.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
27.00 ERA Ldr 3.60
-- WHIP --
2.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 5.0
3 K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
50%
📊
CARDINALS
50%
TWINS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (St. Louis)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 CardinalsSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

32.7%

Cardinals Cover

67.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

MIN By 1-2 runs

14.2%

MIN By 3-4 runs

8.4%

STL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

STL By 3-4 runs

18.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.06
MINNESOTA
4.85
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
6
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.8
A
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.9
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 STL @ MIN 4 - 5
Jun 13, 2026 STL @ MIN 9 - 6
Jun 12, 2026 STL @ MIN 8 - 9
Mar 30, 2025 MIN @ STL 2 - 9
Mar 29, 2025 MIN @ STL 1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
St. Louis STL
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.44
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.720 ▲
OPS
.691
187 ▲
Home Runs
167
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +69.3% more
St. Louis: 10.1 vs Minnesota: 6.0
Total Bases (L5) +56.8% more
St. Louis: 14.8 vs Minnesota: 9.5
Errors (L5) +26.0% more
St. Louis: 0.7 vs Minnesota: 0.5
Home Runs (L5) +18.0% more
St. Louis: 0.9 vs Minnesota: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.1 2
STL Score 4.9 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.1 / 6.0 10.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.7 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.7 / 9.3 5.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 9.5 22.0 / 10.0
Walks 1.4 / 3.6 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
STL Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
MIN
STL
MIN
ML
53% 85-74
52% 84-78
52% 84-77
50% 80-81
ATS
56% 89-70
59% 95-67
53% 85-76
59% 95-66
TTL
46% 68-81-10
51% 78-75-9
50% 76-75-10
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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