Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Jeffers
#27 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Benintendi
#23 | Designated Hitter| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Jeffers | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Andrew Benintendi | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
75%
WHITE SOX
25%
TWINS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
MIN By 1-2 runs
18.2%
MIN By 3-4 runs
13.2%
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
13.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.34
MINNESOTA
Chicago
3.45
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
25% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
A
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
187
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+32.0% more
Chicago: 1.1
vs
Minnesota: 0.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+31.6% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Total Bases (L5)
+14.5% more
Chicago: 11.0
vs
Minnesota: 9.6
Hits (L5)
+13.7% more
Chicago: 6.4
vs
Minnesota: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.3
0
CHW Score
3.5
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.4 / 5.6
8.0 / 2.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.8
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 7.6
13.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
11.0 / 9.6
17.0 / 2.0
Walks
3.4 / 4.0
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIN
CHW
MIN
ML
49%
81-86
52%
84-78
56%
94-73
50%
80-81
ATS
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
59%
95-66
TTL
58%
96-69-2
51%
78-75-9
51%
84-81-2
53%
80-72-9