DETROIT
TIGERSDET
0-3 | Road
9
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
2-2 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
4.15
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
MARINERS
100%
TIGERS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
69%
Under 0
31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
17.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
14.9%
SEA By 3-4 runs
9.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
4.86
DETROIT
Seattle
3.31
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.2
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.241
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720
▲
OPS
.693
181
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+29.4% more
Detroit: 12.4
vs
Seattle: 8.8
Hits (L5)
+26.1% more
Detroit: 7.7
vs
Seattle: 5.7
Runs per Game (Season)
+8.1% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Seattle: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+2.7%
Detroit: 72.0%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
4.9
9
SEA Score
3.3
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.2
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
5.7 / 7.7
8.0 / 18.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.7
3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 8.5
5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
8.8 / 12.4
21.0 / 25.0
Walks
2.7 / 2.0
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DET
SEA
DET
ML
50%
81-81
54%
86-73
52%
85-77
54%
87-73
ATS
60%
98-64
64%
101-58
59%
95-67
57%
91-69
TTL
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-9
53%
81-71-10
46%
69-81-10
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