ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
0-4 | Road
1
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
5-0 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Scott
#66 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
6.75
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
DODGERS
100%
BRAVES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ATL By 1-2 runs
12.5%
ATL By 3-4 runs
6.9%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
3.48
ATLANTA
Los Angeles
5.85
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Los Angeles
7
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
100% Win Prob
A
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.4
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
LAD @ ATL
4 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
LAD @ ATL
3 - 1
Oct 4, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 2
Oct 3, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 5
Aug 27, 2026
LAD @ ATL
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
.757
OPS
▲
.762
1
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20300.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+195.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.6
vs
Atlanta: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+146.4% more
Los Angeles: 16.8
vs
Atlanta: 6.8
Hits (L5)
+64.8% more
Los Angeles: 7.2
vs
Atlanta: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
3.5
1
LAD Score
5.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.2 / 4.4
9.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
2.6 / 0.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
12.1 / 7.4
14.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
16.8 / 6.8
16.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.9 / 3.3
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ATL
LAD
ATL
ML
56%
92-73
46%
77-90
48%
79-87
54%
90-78
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
96-71
43%
72-94
52%
87-81
TTL
48%
77-82-6
53%
83-73-11
44%
70-90-6
49%
76-80-11
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