ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
2-2 | Road
7
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
3-0 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Geraldo Perdomo
#2 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Brent Headrick
#47 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geraldo Perdomo | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Brent Headrick | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
0%
YANKEES
100%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
ARI By 1-2 runs
19.5%
ARI By 3-4 runs
15.9%
NYY By 1-2 runs
16.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
11.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
6.97
ARIZONA
New York
6.12
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Arizona
4
ARIZONA
New York
6
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
C
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 13.1
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
NYY @ ARI
4 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
NYY @ ARI
3 - 5
Sep 18, 2026
NYY @ ARI
9 - 2
Apr 3, 2025
ARI @ NYY
7 - 9
Apr 2, 2025
ARI @ NYY
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.720
OPS
▲
1.041
166
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.8% more
Arizona: 166.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Hits (L5)
+8.3% more
Arizona: 11.5
vs
New York: 10.5
Home Runs (L5)
+246.0% more
New York: 4.3
vs
Arizona: 1.2
Runs per Game (Season)
+97.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Arizona: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
7.0
7
NYY Score
6.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.5 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.5 / 11.5
5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
4.3 / 1.2
3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 9.1
11.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
24.5 / 18.6
15.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.1 / 3.2
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
ARI
NYY
ARI
ML
47%
76-85
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
54%
86-74
ATS
59%
95-66
57%
91-70
53%
86-76
56%
89-71
TTL
53%
81-73-7
52%
80-73-8
53%
82-72-7
49%
73-77-9
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