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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

1-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Apr 1 • 9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

2-3  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Colt Keith
STARTING PITCHER

Colt Keith

#33 | Third Base
@
Gabe Speier
STARTING PITCHER

Gabe Speier

#55 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Colt Keith None-None -- -- -- --
Gabe Speier None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
33%
📊
MARINERS
67%
TIGERS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 85%
Under 0 15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

62.7%

Mariners Cover

37.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

17.0%

SEA By 1-2 runs

15.5%

SEA By 3-4 runs

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5.03
DETROIT
3.73
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
5
DETROIT
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
33% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim Tigers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
A
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 6, 2026 DET @ SEA 11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026 DET @ SEA 2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026 DET @ SEA 8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026 SEA @ DET 4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 SEA @ DET 4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.46 ▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.241 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720 ▲
OPS
.693
181
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +42.0% more
Detroit: 11.1 vs Seattle: 6.5
Total Bases (L5) +22.7% more
Detroit: 16.6 vs Seattle: 12.9
Strikeouts (L5) +18.7% more
Detroit: 8.7 vs Seattle: 7.1
Runs per Game (Season) +8.1% more
Detroit: 4.5 vs Seattle: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 5.0 4
SEA Score 3.7 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.5 / 11.1 1.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.1 / 8.7 13.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 12.9 / 16.6 1.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.1 / 3.4 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DET
SEA
DET
ML
50% 81-81
54% 86-73
52% 85-77
54% 87-73
ATS
60% 98-64
64% 101-58
59% 95-67
57% 91-69
TTL
56% 85-67-10
46% 69-81-9
53% 81-71-10
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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