ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
0-6 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
7-0 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 4.50 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 1.69 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.50
ERA
Ldr 1.69
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
DODGERS
100%
BRAVES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ATL By 1-2 runs
9.4%
ATL By 3-4 runs
4.6%
LAD By 1-2 runs
17.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
2.94
ATLANTA
Los Angeles
6.35
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
100% Win Prob
A
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.4
C
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
LAD @ ATL
4 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
LAD @ ATL
3 - 1
Oct 4, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 2
Oct 3, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 5
Aug 27, 2026
LAD @ ATL
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
.757
OPS
▲
.762
1
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20300.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+142.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.9
vs
Atlanta: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+131.1% more
Los Angeles: 13.7
vs
Atlanta: 5.9
Hits (L5)
+78.9% more
Los Angeles: 6.9
vs
Atlanta: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
2.9
5
LAD Score
6.4
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
3.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.9 / 3.8
9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 0.5
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
11.8 / 7.2
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 5.9
19.0 / 11.0
Walks
4.4 / 2.8
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ATL
LAD
ATL
ML
56%
92-73
46%
77-90
48%
79-87
54%
90-78
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
96-71
43%
72-94
52%
87-81
TTL
48%
77-82-6
53%
83-73-11
44%
70-90-6
49%
76-80-11
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…