MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
4-3 | Road
0
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
0-7 | Home
10
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Javier Sanoja
#8 | Third Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Drake Baldwin
#30 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Sanoja | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Drake Baldwin | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
100%
BRAVES
0%
MARLINS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIA -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
MIA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIA By 3-4 runs
17.2%
ATL By 1-2 runs
15.3%
ATL By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
5.4
MIAMI
Atlanta
4.01
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Miami
3
MIAMI
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Marlins
Loss
100% Win Prob
A
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Marlins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
A
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
ATL @ MIA
3 - 5
Sep 26, 2026
ATL @ MIA
8 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
ATL @ MIA
0 - 3
Aug 6, 2026
MIA @ ATL
3 - 11
Aug 5, 2026
MIA @ ATL
1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.41
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.249
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.727
OPS
▲
.757
168
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Miami: 168.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+42.3% more
Miami: 9.0
vs
Atlanta: 5.2
Total Bases (L5)
+40.8% more
Miami: 12.9
vs
Atlanta: 7.6
Home Runs (L5)
+39.0% more
Miami: 0.7
vs
Atlanta: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
5.4
0
ATL Score
4.0
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.2 / 9.0
16.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.7
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 7.5
12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
7.6 / 12.9
24.0 / 4.0
Walks
3.2 / 3.3
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIA
ATL
MIA
ML
46%
77-90
48%
78-84
54%
90-78
55%
88-72
ATS
57%
96-71
56%
91-71
52%
87-81
54%
86-74
TTL
53%
83-73-11
56%
88-69-5
49%
76-80-11
53%
82-73-5
Contextual Game News
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Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS