CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
2-5 | Road
2
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
3-4 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Colt Keith
#33 | Third Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | None-None | 5.73 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
| Colt Keith | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.73
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
35%
TIGERS
65%
WHITE SOX
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHW By 1-2 runs
17.1%
CHW By 3-4 runs
11.7%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
15.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.46
CHICAGO
Detroit
4.11
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18000.0% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+72.0% more
Detroit: 1.6
vs
Chicago: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+46.2% more
Detroit: 16.7
vs
Chicago: 11.5
Hits (L5)
+29.6% more
Detroit: 9.2
vs
Chicago: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.5
2
DET Score
4.1
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 7.1
10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.9
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 7.7
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
16.7 / 11.5
19.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.6 / 3.6
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54%
86-73
48%
81-87
54%
87-73
56%
94-74
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
99-69
57%
91-69
55%
93-75
TTL
46%
69-81-9
58%
97-69-2
46%
69-81-10
51%
85-81-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox