Home / MLB Projections MLB / Guardians @ Angels CLE @ LAA

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

3-4  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Apr 5 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

4-3  |  Home

10
Probable Pitchers
Joey Cantillo
STARTING PITCHER

Joey Cantillo

#54 | Starting Pitcher
@
Nolan Schanuel
STARTING PITCHER

Nolan Schanuel

#18 | First Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Joey Cantillo None-None 1.69 -- 2.1 2
Nolan Schanuel None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
1.69 ERA --
-- WHIP --
2.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
2 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
36%
📊
ANGELS
64%
GUARDIANS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Cleveland)
GuardiansCLE (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Guardians Cover

60.3%

Angels Cover

39.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CLE By 3-4 runs

16.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.98
CLEVELAND
2.94
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
CLEVELAND
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Guardians Loss
36% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Guardians (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 CLE @ LAA 4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026 CLE @ LAA 8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026 CLE @ LAA 4 - 2
May 13, 2026 LAA @ CLE 2 - 4
May 12, 2026 LAA @ CLE 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland CLE
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.19 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.239 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.316 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.380 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.696 ▲
OPS
.679
162 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +57.9% more
Cleveland: 1.1 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Home Runs (L5) +17.9% more
Cleveland: 1.5 vs Los Angeles: 1.2
Home Runs (Season) +4.9% more
Cleveland: 162.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +3.6% more
Cleveland: 4.2 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 4.0 4
LAA Score 2.9 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 1.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.5 / 8.0 12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.5 4.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.2 / 8.1 7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 14.6 / 14.2 25.0 / 13.0
Walks 5.3 / 3.9 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
86-79-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2% Total +/-: +0.5
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CLE
LAA
CLE
ML
59% 96-66
54% 87-74
55% 89-73
49% 80-82
ATS
60% 97-65
58% 93-68
51% 82-80
59% 95-67
TTL
53% 83-74-5
55% 88-71-2
52% 82-75-5
43% 69-90-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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