Home / MLB Projections MLB / Guardians @ Angels CLE @ LAA

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

3-5  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Apr 6 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

5-3  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Cade Smith
STARTING PITCHER

Cade Smith

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Nolan Schanuel
STARTING PITCHER

Nolan Schanuel

#18 | First Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cade Smith None-None 0.00 -- 0.2 --
Nolan Schanuel None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
26%
📊
ANGELS
74%
GUARDIANS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GuardiansCLE (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Guardians Cover

49.8%

Angels Cover

50.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

CLE By 1-2 runs

18.4%

CLE By 3-4 runs

13.5%

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.73
CLEVELAND
3.75
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
CLEVELAND
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
74% Win Prob
B
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
C
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 CLE @ LAA 4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026 CLE @ LAA 8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026 CLE @ LAA 4 - 2
May 13, 2026 LAA @ CLE 2 - 4
May 12, 2026 LAA @ CLE 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland CLE
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.19 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.239 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.316 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.380 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.696 ▲
OPS
.679
162 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +31.0% more
Los Angeles: 18.1 vs Cleveland: 13.8
Home Runs (L5) +29.3% more
Los Angeles: 2.2 vs Cleveland: 1.7
Hits (L5) +26.8% more
Los Angeles: 9.7 vs Cleveland: 7.6
Walks (L5) +14.3% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Cleveland: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 3.7 2
LAA Score 3.8 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 9.7 / 7.6 9.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 1.7 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.4 / 8.4 10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 18.1 / 13.8 19.0 / 6.0
Walks 4.9 / 4.3 4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
86-79-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2% Total +/-: +0.5
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CLE
LAA
CLE
ML
59% 96-66
54% 87-74
55% 89-73
49% 80-82
ATS
60% 97-65
58% 93-68
51% 82-80
59% 95-67
TTL
53% 83-74-5
55% 88-71-2
52% 82-75-5
43% 69-90-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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