NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
6-3 | Road
2
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
5-4 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Hill
#41 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | None-None | 3.60 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.60
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
62%
TIGERS
38%
YANKEES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
18.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
13.9%
DET By 1-2 runs
18.2%
DET By 3-4 runs
13.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.83
NEW YORK
Detroit
5.71
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.5
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
DET @ NYY
6 - 2
Jun 30, 2026
DET @ NYY
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
DET @ NYY
7 - 3
Jun 24, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 2
Jun 23, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
1.041
▲
OPS
.720
2
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+50.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+33.0% more
New York: 10.5
vs
Detroit: 7.0
OPS (Season)
+32.1%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Detroit: 72.0%
Walks (L5)
+31.5% more
New York: 4.8
vs
Detroit: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.8
2
DET Score
5.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.1
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.6 / 10.4
5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.0 / 10.5
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
14.7 / 18.5
8.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.3 / 4.8
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYY
DET
NYY
ML
54%
86-73
47%
76-85
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
95-66
57%
91-69
53%
86-76
TTL
46%
69-81-9
53%
81-73-7
46%
69-81-10
53%
82-72-7
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