Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Nationals LAD @ WSH

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

9-2  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Apr 7 • 6:45 PM ET
Nationals Park
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

3-6  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Alex Call
STARTING PITCHER

Alex Call

#12 | Left Field
@
Dylan Crews
STARTING PITCHER

Dylan Crews

#3 | Right Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Alex Call None-None -- -- -- --
Dylan Crews None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
90%
📊
NATIONALS
10%
DODGERS --
NATIONALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 NationalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

79.5%

Nationals Cover

20.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

17.9%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.7%

WSH By 1-2 runs

9.8%

WSH By 3-4 runs

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6.32
LOS ANGELES
3.02
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
6
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
90% Win Prob
A
Sim Nationals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.3
C
Sim Nationals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.3
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 WSH @ LAD 5 - 7
Sep 5, 2026 WSH @ LAD 5 - 6
Sep 4, 2026 WSH @ LAD 3 - 5
Apr 5, 2026 LAD @ WSH 8 - 6
Apr 4, 2026 LAD @ WSH 10 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Washington WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.94
Runs / Game
▲ 5.07
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.246
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.321
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.423
.762 ▲
OPS
.744
204
Home Runs
▲ 210
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +59.1% more
Los Angeles: 1.9 vs Washington: 0.8
Walks (L5) +43.4% more
Los Angeles: 6.2 vs Washington: 3.5
Total Bases (L5) +18.7% more
Los Angeles: 15.0 vs Washington: 12.2
Strikeouts (L5) +16.4% more
Los Angeles: 8.3 vs Washington: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 6.3 4
WSH Score 3.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.5 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 7.4 / 7.5 9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 1.9 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 8.3 11.0 / 1.0
Total Bases 12.2 / 15.0 14.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.5 / 6.2 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
WSH
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
LAD
WSH
LAD
ML
57% 92-69
56% 92-73
54% 87-74
48% 79-87
ATS
58% 93-68
59% 98-67
57% 91-70
43% 72-94
TTL
50% 77-78-6
48% 77-82-6
42% 65-90-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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