CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
3-7 | Road
2
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
8-1 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Greene
#21 | SP@
STARTING PITCHER
Camilo Doval
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | None-None | 1.31 | -- | 8.2 | 7 |
| Camilo Doval | None-None | 5.06 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.31 Ldr
ERA
5.06
--
WHIP
--
8.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
5%
GIANTS
95%
REDS
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
CIN By 1-2 runs
16.7%
CIN By 3-4 runs
11.2%
SF By 1-2 runs
19.5%
SF By 3-4 runs
15.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
3.66
CINCINNATI
San Francisco
4.48
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
3
CINCINNATI
San Francisco
4
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Loss
95% Win Prob
A
Sim
Giants
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
CIN @ SF
10 - 9
Aug 25, 2026
CIN @ SF
1 - 3
Aug 24, 2026
CIN @ SF
0 - 5
Apr 16, 2026
SF @ CIN
3 - 0
Apr 15, 2026
SF @ CIN
3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
San Francisco
SF
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
4.13
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.306
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.699
OPS
▲
.706
213
▲
Home Runs
178
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+36.1% more
San Francisco: 4.3
vs
Cincinnati: 3.1
Hits (L5)
+30.9% more
San Francisco: 9.0
vs
Cincinnati: 6.9
Total Bases (L5)
+20.9% more
San Francisco: 14.8
vs
Cincinnati: 12.2
Batting Avg (Season)
+1.6%
San Francisco: 24.5%
vs
Cincinnati: 22.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
3.7
2
SF Score
4.5
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.0 / 6.9
4.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.4
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 7.0
13.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
14.8 / 12.2
5.0 / 6.0
Walks
4.3 / 3.1
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
Advantage
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CIN
SF
CIN
ML
49%
79-81
55%
88-71
53%
85-75
49%
79-81
ATS
62%
100-60
54%
86-73
52%
83-77
50%
80-80
TTL
55%
82-68-10
53%
81-73-5
46%
68-81-11
54%
83-72-5
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat