NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
6-4 | Road
0
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
6-4 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Fernando Cruz
#63 | RP@
STARTING PITCHER
Javier Baez
#28 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Cruz | None-None | 4.76 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Javier Baez | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.76
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
50%
TIGERS
50%
YANKEES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
NYY By 1-2 runs
15.3%
NYY By 3-4 runs
9.5%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.06
NEW YORK
Detroit
6.44
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.5
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
DET @ NYY
6 - 2
Jun 30, 2026
DET @ NYY
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
DET @ NYY
7 - 3
Jun 24, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 2
Jun 23, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
1.041
▲
OPS
.720
2
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+8950.0% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Errors (L5)
+51.0% more
Detroit: 0.9
vs
New York: 0.4
Home Runs (L5)
+13.0% more
Detroit: 1.1
vs
New York: 1.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+50.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.1
0
DET Score
6.4
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 9.3
9.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.0
4.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 10.3
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 15.3
22.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.2 / 4.8
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYY
DET
NYY
ML
54%
86-73
47%
76-85
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
95-66
57%
91-69
53%
86-76
TTL
46%
69-81-9
53%
81-73-7
46%
69-81-10
53%
82-72-7
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