LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
9-3 | Road
2
WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
4-6 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Justin Wrobleski
#70 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Orlando Ribalta
#64 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski | None-None | 14.40 | -- | 5.0 | 4 |
| Orlando Ribalta | None-None | 5.87 | -- | 3.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
14.40
ERA
Ldr 5.87
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
3.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
82%
NATIONALS
18%
DODGERS
--
NATIONALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.4%
LAD By 3-4 runs
18.8%
WSH By 1-2 runs
12.9%
WSH By 3-4 runs
7.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.92
LOS ANGELES
Washington
3.69
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Washington
6
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Loss
82% Win Prob
A
Sim
Nationals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim
Nationals (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
WSH @ LAD
5 - 7
Sep 5, 2026
WSH @ LAD
5 - 6
Sep 4, 2026
WSH @ LAD
3 - 5
Apr 5, 2026
LAD @ WSH
8 - 6
Apr 4, 2026
LAD @ WSH
10 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Washington
WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
5.07
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.246
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.321
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.423
.762
▲
OPS
.744
204
Home Runs
▲
210
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+62.4% more
Los Angeles: 1.0
vs
Washington: 0.4
Home Runs (L5)
+46.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.6
vs
Washington: 0.9
Walks (L5)
+34.8% more
Los Angeles: 5.1
vs
Washington: 3.4
Total Bases (L5)
+14.8% more
Los Angeles: 15.0
vs
Washington: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.9
2
WSH Score
3.7
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 8.0
11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.6
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 5.9
15.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
12.8 / 15.0
18.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.4 / 5.1
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
WSH
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
LAD
WSH
LAD
ML
57%
92-69
56%
92-73
54%
87-74
48%
79-87
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
98-67
57%
91-70
43%
72-94
TTL
50%
77-78-6
48%
77-82-6
42%
65-90-6
44%
70-90-6
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